People maybe travel again from Q1 2022
People maybe travel again from Q1 2022. According to Chinese top COVID-19 expert: Dr. Zhang Wen Hong talked to the media on Nov 13. 2020.
When will the COVID-19 vaccine be available? When will countries reopen? What is the significance of the global collaborative fight against the epidemic? At the 11th Caixin Summit with the theme of “Rebuilding Global Trust” held on November 13, Zhang Wenhong, director of the Department of Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, expressed his views.
Zhang Wenhong said that important progress has been made in the research and development of inactivated vaccines for COVID-19 pneumonia in the near future, and it is expected to be on the market at the end of this year or early next year. Zhang Wenhong summed up the role of the COVID-19 vaccine in two sentences, one is “it is not always possible to have a vaccine”, and the other is “it is absolutely impossible to have no vaccine.” He pointed out that the COVID-19 pneumonia virus has become a “resident virus” and the mortality rate of the virus is still high. Without a vaccine, it will be impossible to achieve global prevention and control.
“Vaccines are on the market today, and the virus will disappear tomorrow. This is impossible.” Zhang Wenhong pointed out that all infectious diseases are thoroughly controlled, and the effectiveness of vaccines and public health policies are equally important. The market area where the vaccine is put into the market, the level of acceptance by countries, the protection rate of the vaccine, and the level of public acceptance are all related to the vaccination coverage rate.
To prevent the spread and continuity of the COVID-19 pneumonia virus worldwide, more than 60% of the people must be vaccinated, otherwise the global restart will still face challenges. At that time, the virus will be downgraded to a resident virus with a lower infection rate, similar to flu. Zhang Wenhong predicts that this process will last from one to two years from the launch of the vaccine to the successive inoculations of people across the world. “No surprise, in the spring of 2022, maybe we can pack our bags and go around the world again. The premise is that the world must work together to prevent and control the epidemic.” Zhang Wenhong believes that the global epidemic is not balanced and there is no A country can take care of itself, and China cannot fully open up.
Zhang Wenhong talked about a recent case of COVID-19 in Shanghai. After the case was discovered, there was no large-scale screening of all employees there. Zhang Wenhong said that this is because Shanghai has continued its precision prevention and control strategy, early detection, fast tracking, and targeting the location of the spread of the virus, and then starting screening with that location as the core.
Zhang Wenhong said that China has formed a sound strategy and accumulated rich experience in the fight against the epidemic, but still faces great risks of overseas imports. In the next one to two years, before the vaccine is generally covered, it must adhere to rapid response and precision. The strategy of prevention and control and dynamic resetting.